Abstract - Estimates of recovery from oil fields are often found to be significantly
in error, and the multidisciplinary SAIGUP modelling project has focused on the
problem by assessing the influence of geological factors on production in a large
suite of synthetic shallow-marine reservoir models. Over 400 progradational
shallow-marine reservoirs, ranging from comparatively simple, parallel, wavedominated
shorelines through to laterally heterogeneous, lobate, river-dominated
systems with abundant low-angle clinoforms, were generated as a function of
sedimentological input conditioned to natural data. These sedimentological models
were combined with structural models sharing a common overall form but
consisting of three different fault systems with variable fault density and fault
permeability characteristics and a common unfaulted end-member. Different sets of
relative permeability functions applied on a facies-by-facies basis were calculated as
a function of different lamina-scale properties and upscaling algorithms to establish
the uncertainty in production introduced through the upscaling process. Different
fault-related upscaling assumptions were also included in some models. A waterflood
production mechanism was simulated using up to five different sets of well locations,
resulting in simulated production behaviour for over 35000 full-field reservoir
models. The model reservoirs are typical of many North Sea examples, with total
production ranging from c. 15*106 m3 to 35*106 m3, and recovery factors of
between 30% and 55%. A variety of analytical methods were applied. Formal
statistical methods quantified the relative influences of individual input parameters
and parameter combinations on production measures. Various measures of reservoir
heterogeneity were tested for their ability to discriminate reservoir performance. This
paper gives a summary of the modelling and analyses described in more detail in the
remainder of this thematic set of papers.
Petroleum Geoscience, 14, 3-15.
Download pdf of article.
This material has been published in Petroleum Geoscience, the only definitive repository of the content that has been certified and accepted after peer review. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by The Geological Society of London and EAGE.
Petroleum Geoscience on-line